Liverpool needs to win with a difference of at least 3 goals against Atalanta to hope to win tickets to play in the Europa League semi-finals. In the context that the Premier League is no longer under control, Liverpool is forced to devote all its efforts to the battle for the C2 Cup.
Comment on the match Atalanta vs Liverpool
Liverpool entered the Europa League quarter-final first leg this season with special confidence. Klopp’s army has not lost any match at Anfield this season. That is truly an impressive achievement.
But the earthquake happened on Merseyside. Atalanta not only won but even defeated Liverpool convincingly. Gianluca Scamacca scored twice in 60 minutes, before Mario Pasalic delivered the finishing blow in the 83rd minute. In the end, Liverpool lost to Atalanta with a score of 0-3 and was at a big disadvantage in the Europa League quarter-finals this season.
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Liverpool lost 2 consecutive matches at home |
To come back, Liverpool needs to beat Atalanta in the second leg with a difference of at least 3 goals. If the total score in 90 minutes is a draw, the two teams will go into extra time and then a penalty shootout. Of course, the big disadvantage still belongs to Liverpool because the extra time will take place at Atalanta’s Gewiss home field.
Last weekend, Liverpool continued to receive a shock at Anfield. They were defeated by Crystal Palace with a score of 1-0. This result caused Liverpool to drop to 3rd place in the Premier League rankings. This season’s Premier League championship is no longer within The Kop’s control as they are 2 points behind Man City. With Man City’s easy schedule in the last 6 matches, Liverpool will have to pray that Pep Guardiola and his team stumble. But even if that happens, Liverpool is unlikely to surpass Arsenal on the rankings.
That context forced Liverpool to put all their effort into the second leg of the Europa League with Atalanta. This is an opportunity for Liverpool to win another title this season, although the challenge in Italy must be extremely difficult.
Statistics show that in the 132 previous matches in the knockout round, no team in the C2 Cup won the right to continue after losing the first leg at home with a difference of 3 goals or more. Liverpool will have to write history to win a ticket to continue in the Europa League.
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Atalanta won a resounding victory at Anfield in the first leg |
There is an advantage for Liverpool when Alexander-Arnold has recovered from injury and is aiming for his first start after a knee injury. Alisson and Diogo Jota are also preparing to return. With Jota’s presence, Liverpool is expected to score more goals. He will replace Luis Diaz or Darwin Nunez in attack. This season, Nunez achieved a conversion rate of 19.4% of good opportunities into goals, the lowest among the top 5 European championships. The lack of grace of the strikers in attack is also a factor that caused Liverpool to lose 2 consecutive matches at Anfield’s home field.
In the first leg, Liverpool missed favorable opportunities to score against Atalanta. The Kop took 19 shots in the first leg but only got the ball on target 5 times.
Not only does the attack have problems, Liverpool has also gone through 9 consecutive matches without keeping a clean sheet in all competitions. These are problems that coach Klopp needs to find a solution to solve quickly to save Liverpool’s season.
One point is that Liverpool has scored in every away match this season. It’s been more than 12 months since Liverpool last lost on away field. The previous away trip to Atalanta Stadium in the Champions League 2020/21 season ended with a score of 5-0. Therefore, Liverpool still has hope to create a surprise in the upcoming away trip.
Special comments Atalanta vs Liverpool
Liverpool wins by 1 goal or more: An aggressive attack like the first leg promises to take place again at Atalanta. In the first leg, Liverpool controlled the ball approximately 80% and will almost certainly have this match again when Atalanta only needs to lose by no more than 3 goals. Therefore, Liverpool winning this match is inevitable.
From 3 goals or more: Atalanta has only failed once this season. Liverpool must definitely attack aggressively. Therefore, the next match will easily have 3 or more goals.
More than 10 corners: The away team Liverpool is forced to attack and makes the match prone to many corners. Liverpool averaged 7.55 corners in the last 20 matches while Atalanta also averaged 5.3 corners. Therefore, we can believe that the match will reach the milestone of 10 corner kicks.
Predicted result Atalanta vs Liverpool: 1-3
Information surrounding the Atalanta vs Liverpool match
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Comments on Atalanta vs Liverpool |
- Atalanta: Giorgio Scalvini and Sead Kolasinac are injured.
- Liverpool: Joel Matip, Thiago Alcantara and Conor Bradley are injured.
– Liverpool have not won their last 3 matches.
– Liverpool have not kept a clean sheet in their last 9 matches.
– Liverpool’s last 6/7 matches had 3 or more goals.
– 7/9 of Liverpool’s last matches had less than 5 penalty cards.
– 5/6 of Liverpool’s last matches had more than 10 corner kicks.
– Atalanta’s last 6/7 matches had more than 2 goals.
– Atalantacos’ last 6/8 matches had less than 5 penalty cards.
– Atalanta’s last 5/7 matches had less than 11 corners.
– Atalanta won 2 and lost 1 when facing Liverpool.
